No clear lean · Research notes

Over 19.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 19.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 1.8 targets/game. Change: -65.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	19.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	19.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	19.5	-113	+102
HRB	19.5	-115	-115
CZR ↗	19.5	-115	-110
PIN	19.5	-123	-107
PP ↗	19.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets4

Target share3%

Catch %50%

Yds / rec24.0

Season 2026: 2 rec · 48 yds · red-zone targets 1 (5% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W3	LA	1	1	21	0
2026 · W2	JAX	2	1	27	0
2026 · W1	KC	1	0	0	0
2025 · W18	LAC	1	0	0	0
2025 · W17	KC	4	4	17	0
2025 · W16	JAX	5	4	66	0
2025 · W15	GB	6	6	85	1
2025 · W14	LV	4	3	11	0
2025 · W13	WAS	3	2	21	0
2025 · W11	KC	8	4	84	0