2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 7 → latest five: 9.4 targets/game. Change: +34.3%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | +100 | -130 |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | +108 | -144 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | +122 | -137 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | +103 | -134 |
| DK | 4.5 | -105 | -122 |
| HRB | 4.5 | +100 | -130 |
| PIN | 4.5 | +108 | -144 |
| B365 | 4.5 | -116 | — |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | -111 | -120 |
| FAN | 4.5 | +110 | -165 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | PHI | 9 | 4 | 32 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | DEN | 13 | 7 | 137 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | NYG | 10 | 8 | 195 | 2 |
| 2026 · W1 | SF | 6 | 3 | 26 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | DET | 9 | 4 | 71 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | ARI | 6 | 4 | 29 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | CAR | 5 | 4 | 58 | 2 |
| 2025 · W12 | TB | 8 | 5 | 62 | 2 |
| 2025 · W11 | SEA | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025 · W10 | SF | 8 | 6 | 77 | 1 |