Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 20.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 20.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 20.5–20.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.4 → latest five: 3.2 targets/game. Change: -5.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus20.5-137-137
FD ↗20.5-114-114
Novig ↗20.5-113-102
HRB20.5-115-115
CZR20.5-122-110
FAN20.5-120-125
DK20.5-108-116
PIN20.5-114-114
MGM ↗20.5-115-115
PP ↗20.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets15
Target share13%
Catch %47%
Yds / rec10.4
Season 2026: 7 rec · 73 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4LAC31201
2026 · W3WAS32140
2026 · W2ARI63350
2026 · W1NE3140
2025 · W18SF1120
2025 · W17CAR1180
2025 · W16LA1000
2025 · W15IND75740
2025 · W14ATL54670
2025 · W13MIN3170