No clear lean · Research notes

Over 3.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 3.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5 → latest five: 4.8 targets/game. Change: -4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus3.5+115-150
DK3.5+123-157
HRB3.5+115-150
Novig ↗3.5+138-150
B3653.5+110—
CZR ↗3.5+112-175
FD ↗3.5+112-148
PIN3.5+113-151
FAN3.5+110-165
MGM ↗3.5+115-155
Rec / game3.5
Targets18
Target share18%
Catch %78%
Season 2026: 14 rec · 167 yds · red-zone targets 2 (12% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4CIN87950
2026 · W3NE53320
2026 · W2DEN22170
2026 · W1CLE32231
2025 · W18TEN66521
2025 · W17IND53540
2025 · W16DEN75391
2025 · W15NYJ31260
2025 · W14IND63270
2025 · W13TEN43451