No clear lean · Research notes

Over 7.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 7.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.8 → latest five: 2.6 opportunities/game. Change: +44.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for WAS and TB; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-09-27	SEA	6	1	1
2026-09-20	DAL	13	6	6
2026-09-13	PHI	3	2	2
2026-01-03	CAR	11	2	2
2025-12-28	MIA	6	2	2
2025-12-21	CAR	13	2	2
2025-12-12	ATL	6	1	1
2025-12-07	NO	2	2	1
2025-11-30	ARI	11	3	3
2025-11-24	LAR	4	1	1

No clear lean · Research notes

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