Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 over 9.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 over 9.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 9.5–10.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 5.4 opportunities/game. Change: +28.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04PHI161310
2026-09-28DEN2076
2026-09-22NYG1022
2026-09-11SF1633
2026-01-25 POSEA1322
2026-01-18 POCHI1454
2026-01-10 POCAR1322
2026-01-04ARI953
2025-12-30ATL2133
2025-12-19SEA663

Compare books

fanatics · Over 9.5 (-165)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 10.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 10.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 10.5 (-126)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 10.5 (-103)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 10.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 10.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET