No clear lean · Research notes

Over 19.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 20.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.4 → latest five: 4.2 opportunities/game. Change: +23.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for PHI and GB; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	LAR	7	5	3
2026-09-29	CHI	19	5	2
2026-09-20	TEN	27	6	5
2026-09-13	WSH	64	4	2
2025-12-28	BAL	7	1	1
2025-12-21	CHI	6	2	2
2025-12-14	DEN	6	2	1
2025-11-27	DET	30	7	6
2025-11-23	MIN	18	4	2
2025-11-16	NYG	9	2	1

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 19.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

bet365 · Over 19.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:03 PM ET

draftkings · Over 19.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

betmgm · Over 20.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Under 20.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 19.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 19.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET