No clear lean · Research notes

Over 0.5

1/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.4 → latest five: 1 targets/game. Change: -28.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus0.5——
B3650.5-111—
PP ↗0.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗0.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game0.3
Targets4
Target share3%
Catch %25%
Season 2026: 1 rec · 10 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4TB1000
2026 · W3ATL1000
2026 · W2NYJ1000
2026 · W1MIN11100
2025 · W18MIN1000
2025 · W17BAL31340
2025 · W16CHI0000
2025 · W15DEN1000
2025 · W14CHI21451
2025 · W13DET1000