3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 5.4 targets/game. Change: +28.6%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 3.5 | -124 | -102 |
| FD ↗ | 3.5 | -158 | +118 |
| Novig ↗ | 3.5 | -127 | +111 |
| CZR ↗ | 3.5 | -129 | -102 |
| HRB | 3.5 | -140 | +110 |
| B365 | 3.5 | -141 | — |
| DK | 3.5 | -124 | -102 |
| MGM ↗ | 3.5 | -135 | +100 |
| FAN | 4.5 | +135 | -210 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | TEN | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1 |
| 2026 · W3 | DAL | 5 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | NO | 7 | 6 | 49 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | IND | 6 | 4 | 49 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | PIT | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | GB | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | NE | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | CIN | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | PIT | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | CIN | 6 | 4 | 47 | 0 |