4/5 under 41.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
7/10 under 41.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
7 quoted books: 35.5–41.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 4.8 → latest five: 5.4 targets/game. Change: +12.5%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 38.5 | -110 | -120 |
| FD ↗ | 38.5 | -114 | -114 |
| FAN | 35.5 | -140 | -110 |
| CZR | 38.5 | -114 | -115 |
| HRB | 38.5 | -110 | -120 |
| Novig ↗ | 38.5 | -113 | -113 |
| PIN | 38.5 | -115 | -115 |
| B365 | 41.5 | -116 | -116 |
| PP ↗ | 38.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | MIA | 13 | 13 | 119 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | TB | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | CHI | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | GB | 5 | 4 | 36 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | NYG | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | DAL | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | WAS | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | SEA | 6 | 6 | 59 | 0 |
| 2025 · W12 | GB | 4 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| 2025 · W11 | CHI | 6 | 3 | 39 | 0 |