No clear lean · Research notes

Over 17.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 18.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.4 → latest five: 5.8 opportunities/game. Change: +31.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04KC2384
2026-09-27NO1544
2026-09-20LAC4275
2026-09-13MIA2142
2026-01-04KC1662
2025-12-28NYG2665
2025-12-21HOU1454
2025-12-14PHI030
2025-12-07DEN1352
2025-11-30LAC933

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 17.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 18.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 18.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 18.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 18.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 18.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 18.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 17.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET