Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 under 22.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 22.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 19.5–22.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.

Historical workload

Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 8.6 opportunities/game. Change: +4.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	KC	21	11	6
2026-09-27	NO	20	14	10
2025-12-21	HOU	13	5	5
2025-12-14	PHI	10	8	6
2025-12-07	DEN	15	5	4
2025-11-30	LAC	27	4	4
2025-11-23	CLE	15	9	6
2025-11-18	DAL	18	12	7
2025-11-07	DEN	31	3	1
2025-11-02	JAX	27	13	12

Compare books

draftkings · Over 19.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Over 19.5 (-129)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 22.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 22.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 19.5 (-104)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 19.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET