No clear lean · Research notes

Over 70.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 74.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 8.4 targets/game. Change: +2.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus70.5-137-137
B36574.5-116-116
FD ↗70.5-114-114
FAN70.5-120-120
Novig ↗70.5-122+111
DK72.5-114-110
MGM ↗74.5-115-115
PIN72.5-121-109
Underdog ↗79.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗71.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets24
Target share18%
Catch %67%
Yds / rec12.6
Season 2026: 16 rec · 202 yds · red-zone targets 4 (18% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4KC116861
2026 · W3NO13101161
2025 · W16HOU55331
2025 · W15PHI86280
2025 · W14DEN54461
2025 · W13LAC44632
2025 · W12CLE96550
2025 · W11DAL127720
2025 · W10DEN31310
2025 · W9JAX13121273