No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0 → latest five: 2.2 targets/game. Percentage change is undefined because the previous-five average is zero.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	—	—
FD ↗	1.5	+118	-158
Novig ↗	1.5	+116	-120
CZR ↗	1.5	+120	-157
FAN	1.5	+120	-185

Rec / game2.3

Targets11

Target share9%

Catch %82%

Season 2026: 9 rec · 123 yds · red-zone targets 2 (14% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds
2026 · W4	WAS	6	5	42
2026 · W3	HOU	1	1	20
2026 · W2	KC	3	3	61
2026 · W1	BAL	1	0	0
2025 · W17	JAX	0	0	0
2025 · W14	JAX	0	0	0
2025 · W13	HOU	0	0	0
2025 · W12	KC	0	0	0
2025 · W10	ATL	0	0	0
2025 · W7	LAC	0	0	0