2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 5 → latest five: 2.2 targets/game. Change: -56%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 2.5 | +110 | -137 |
| B365 | 2.5 | +140 | — |
| FD ↗ | 1.5 | -205 | +152 |
| Novig ↗ | 1.5 | -203 | +138 |
| CZR ↗ | 2.5 | +134 | -176 |
| DK | 2.5 | +127 | -163 |
| HRB | 2.5 | +135 | -185 |
| PIN | 1.5 | -205 | +152 |
| FAN | 2.5 | +135 | -210 |
| Underdog ↗ | 3.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | ARI | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | TEN | 4 | 3 | 40 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | LA | 4 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 · W8 | PHI | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| 2025 · W7 | DEN | 6 | 3 | 34 | 1 |
| 2025 · W6 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 2025 · W5 | NO | 7 | 6 | 45 | 0 |
| 2025 · W4 | LAC | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 · W3 | KC | 8 | 6 | 61 | 1 |