3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload supports this side.
2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 10 → latest five: 11.6 targets/game. Change: +16%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 7.5 | +110 | -140 |
| FD ↗ | 6.5 | -160 | +120 |
| Novig ↗ | 6.5 | -157 | +135 |
| CZR ↗ | 7.5 | +108 | -141 |
| DK | 7.5 | +104 | -133 |
| HRB | 7.5 | +110 | -140 |
| PIN | 6.5 | -160 | +120 |
| B365 | 7.5 | +115 | — |
| MGM ↗ | 7.5 | +100 | -135 |
| FAN | 7.5 | +105 | -165 |
| PP ↗ | 7 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Underdog ↗ | 5.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | PHI | 12 | 9 | 125 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | SF | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | ARI | 11 | 10 | 76 | 1 |
| 2025 · W17 | ATL | 10 | 5 | 47 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | SEA | 16 | 12 | 225 | 2 |
| 2025 · W15 | DET | 11 | 9 | 181 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | ARI | 11 | 7 | 167 | 2 |
| 2025 · W13 | CAR | 9 | 6 | 72 | 0 |
| 2025 · W12 | TB | 11 | 7 | 97 | 0 |
| 2025 · W11 | SEA | 8 | 7 | 75 | 0 |