2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 9.4 → latest five: 6.8 targets/game. Change: -27.7%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 68.5 | -137 | -137 |
| FD ↗ | 68.5 | -114 | -114 |
| DK | 69.5 | -112 | -112 |
| Novig ↗ | 68.5 | -113 | -119 |
| CZR | 68.5 | -118 | -113 |
| HRB | 68.5 | -115 | -115 |
| PIN | 69.5 | -107 | -123 |
| FAN | 65.5 | -125 | -115 |
| CIR | 69.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Underdog ↗ | 69.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| PP ↗ | 69.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | CHI | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | DET | 13 | 10 | 107 | 1 |
| 2026 · W2 | GB | 7 | 5 | 57 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | TEN | 7 | 6 | 79 | 0 |
| 2025 · W10 | CLE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 · W6 | DEN | 8 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 2025 · W5 | DAL | 10 | 6 | 71 | 1 |
| 2025 · W4 | MIA | 8 | 6 | 82 | 1 |
| 2025 · W3 | TB | 13 | 10 | 84 | 1 |
| 2025 · W2 | BUF | 8 | 4 | 50 | 0 |