4/5 under 4.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
5/10 under 4.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
8 quoted books: 3.5–4.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 7.8 → latest five: 4.2 targets/game. Change: -46.2%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 3.5 | -124 | -104 |
| FD ↗ | 3.5 | -148 | +112 |
| Novig ↗ | 3.5 | -113 | +106 |
| HRB | 3.5 | -130 | +100 |
| B365 | 3.5 | -141 | — |
| CZR ↗ | 3.5 | -132 | +101 |
| DK | 3.5 | -122 | -104 |
| PIN | 3.5 | -136 | +102 |
| MGM ↗ | 3.5 | -120 | -111 |
| FAN | 4.5 | +145 | -230 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | NO | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026 · W3 | GB | 2 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
| 2026 · W2 | CAR | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | PIT | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 |
| 2025 · W18 | NO | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | LA | 8 | 5 | 34 | 2 |
| 2025 · W16 | ARI | 11 | 7 | 92 | 1 |
| 2025 · W15 | TB | 11 | 8 | 82 | 1 |
| 2025 · W14 | SEA | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | NYJ | 7 | 5 | 51 | 1 |