Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 under 15.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

10/10 under 15.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 13.5–15.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.6 → latest five: 1.8 targets/game. Change: +200%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus13.5——
PIN13.5-120-110
MGM ↗13.5-115-115
FAN15.5-115-125
PP ↗13.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets6
Target share6%
Catch %67%
Yds / rec6.0
Season 2026: 4 rec · 24 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4LA1000
2026 · W3CHI21110
2026 · W2TEN2250
2026 · W1WAS1180
2025 · W18WAS32110
2025 · W17BUF0000
2025 · W16WAS1130
2025 · W15LV0000
2025 · W14LAC1130
2025 · W13CHI11110