3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 5.4 → latest five: 7.4 targets/game. Change: +37%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 51.5 | -114 | -110 |
| FD ↗ | 51.5 | -114 | -114 |
| FAN | 50.5 | -120 | -120 |
| Novig ↗ | 51.5 | -113 | -104 |
| CZR | 51.5 | -114 | -114 |
| DK | 51.5 | -114 | -110 |
| HRB | 51.5 | -115 | -115 |
| MGM ↗ | 51.5 | -115 | -115 |
| PIN | 51.5 | -114 | -114 |
| CIR | 51.5 | -110 | -110 |
| PP ↗ | 51.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | CAR | 13 | 8 | 84 | 1 |
| 2026 · W3 | NYJ | 4 | 3 | 44 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | BUF | 7 | 6 | 52 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | NO | 8 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 2025 · W10 | WAS | 5 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 2025 · W9 | MIN | 8 | 6 | 97 | 1 |
| 2025 · W7 | TB | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 2025 · W6 | KC | 6 | 5 | 55 | 1 |
| 2025 · W5 | CIN | 6 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
| 2025 · W4 | CLE | 4 | 3 | 39 | 0 |