No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.4 → latest five: 3.2 targets/game. Change: -5.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5-137-137
FD ↗1.5-188+140
Novig ↗1.5-163+150
CZR ↗1.5-190—
DK1.5-183+142
HRB1.5-185+140
PIN1.5-173+129
B3651.5-161+135
FAN1.5-195+125
PP ↗2DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗2.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game1.8
Targets15
Target share13%
Catch %47%
Season 2026: 7 rec · 73 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4LAC31201
2026 · W3WAS32140
2026 · W2ARI63350
2026 · W1NE3140
2025 · W18SF1120
2025 · W17CAR1180
2025 · W16LA1000
2025 · W15IND75740
2025 · W14ATL54670
2025 · W13MIN3170