No clear lean · Research notes

Over 12.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 13.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.8 → latest five: 2.6 opportunities/game. Change: +44.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	DAL	52	3	3
2026-09-27	IND	12	2	2
2026-09-20	CIN	31	5	1
2026-09-13	BUF	35	2	2
2026-01-18 PO	NE	0	1	0
2026-01-13 PO	PIT	0	1	0
2026-01-04	IND	13	1	1
2025-12-27	LAC	43	4	3
2025-12-08	KC	7	2	2
2025-11-30	IND	0	1	0

Compare books

fanduel · Over 12.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 12.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 13.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 13.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 12.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 12.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET