No clear lean · Research notes

Over 10.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 10.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 3.2 opportunities/game. Change: -11.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04SF651
2026-09-28LAR020
2026-09-20JAX1711
2026-09-15KC1954
2026-01-25 PONE1232
2026-01-17 POBUF731
2026-01-04LAC3743
2025-12-26KC844
2025-12-21JAX3342
2025-12-14GB1231

Compare books

draftkings · Over 10.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 10.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 10.5 (-124)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 10.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 10.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 10.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET