4/5 under 5.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
7/10 under 5.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
9 quoted books: 4.5–5.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 5.8 targets/game. Change: +11.5%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | -125 | -106 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | -125 | +113 |
| HRB | 4.5 | -130 | +100 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | -140 | +102 |
| DK | 4.5 | -129 | +101 |
| PIN | 4.5 | -132 | +100 |
| B365 | 5.5 | +115 | -156 |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | -145 | +105 |
| FAN | 4.5 | -125 | -110 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | DEN | 5 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
| 2026 · W3 | ARI | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| 2026 · W2 | MIA | 4 | 4 | 43 | 2 |
| 2026 · W1 | LA | 8 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | SEA | 7 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | CHI | 6 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | IND | 8 | 6 | 29 | 2 |
| 2025 · W15 | TEN | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | CLE | 4 | 4 | 21 | 1 |
| 2025 · W12 | CAR | 7 | 7 | 53 | 1 |