No clear lean · Research notes

Over 23.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 24.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 7.8 → latest five: 8.8 opportunities/game. Change: +12.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	PHI	12	9	4
2026-09-28	DEN	49	13	7
2026-09-22	NYG	64	10	8
2026-09-11	SF	13	6	3
2026-01-25 PO	SEA	35	6	4
2026-01-18 PO	CHI	12	6	2
2026-01-10 PO	CAR	23	13	5
2025-12-14	DET	21	9	4
2025-12-07	ARI	10	6	4
2025-11-30	CAR	32	5	4

Compare books

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 23.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 24.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 24.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 24.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 23.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET