No clear lean · Research notes

Over 0.5

4/5 recent hits; 9/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 1.5

4/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.8 → latest five: 1.4 targets/game. Change: -79.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus0.5-195+145
DK0.5-205+159
HRB0.5-195+145
FD ↗0.5-188+140
FAN1.5+220-375
PIN0.5-188+140
Novig ↗0.5-163+160
CZR0.5—+145
Underdog ↗0.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game1.0
Targets5
Target share5%
Catch %60%
Season 2026: 3 rec · 48 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4BAL21130
2026 · W3NYG1000
2026 · W2PHI22350
2025 · W11HOU11130
2025 · W6LV11180
2025 · W5ARI1051310
2025 · W4HOU32300
2025 · W3IND71270
2025 · W2LA63570
2025 · W1DEN84270