Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 10.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 10.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 10.5–10.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.6 → latest five: 2.8 opportunities/game. Change: -39.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	BAL	5	1	1
2026-09-27	NYG	9	4	2
2026-09-20	PHI	8	2	2
2026-09-13	NYJ	12	5	4
2025-12-28	NO	1	2	1
2025-12-21	KC	7	3	2
2025-12-14	SF	34	4	4
2025-12-07	CLE	8	2	1
2025-11-30	JAX	6	7	6
2025-11-23	SEA	15	7	6

Compare books

draftkings · Over 10.5 (-101)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 10.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 10.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 10.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 10.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 10.5 (-129)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET