No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies.

Under 19.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2.8 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus19.5-115-115
FD ↗19.5-114-114
CZR ↗19.5-114-115
DK19.5-108-116
FAN15.5-140-105
MGM ↗24.5+105—
B36519.5-125-116
HRB19.5-115-115
Novig ↗19.5-108+104
PIN19.5-114-114
PP ↗19.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗14.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets9
Target share8%
Catch %33%
Yds / rec26.7
Season 2026: 3 rec · 80 yds · red-zone targets 1 (6% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4NE4130
2026 · W2DET31431
2026 · W1HOU21341
2025 · W18NYJ3110
2025 · W17PHI21120
2025 · W16CLE1120
2025 · W15NE21160
2025 · W12HOU42210
2025 · W11TB52170
2025 · W6ATL22600