3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 4.4 → latest five: 5.8 targets/game. Change: +31.8%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 39.5 | -137 | -137 |
| B365 | 38.5 | -116 | -116 |
| FD ↗ | 39.5 | -114 | -114 |
| FAN | 40.5 | -110 | -140 |
| Novig ↗ | 39.5 | -108 | -102 |
| CZR ↗ | 39.5 | -115 | -114 |
| DK | 39.5 | -110 | -114 |
| HRB | 39.5 | -115 | -115 |
| PIN | 39.5 | -114 | -114 |
| PP ↗ | 40.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Underdog ↗ | 39.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | KC | 8 | 4 | 44 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | NO | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | LAC | 7 | 5 | 119 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | MIA | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | KC | 6 | 2 | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | NYG | 6 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | HOU | 5 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | PHI | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | DEN | 5 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | LAC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 |