2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 4.4 → latest five: 3.4 targets/game. Change: -22.7%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 2.5 | +137 | -179 |
| FD ↗ | 2.5 | +124 | -166 |
| CZR ↗ | 2.5 | +126 | -150 |
| DK | 2.5 | +140 | -179 |
| Novig ↗ | 2.5 | +141 | -144 |
| HRB | 2.5 | +130 | -170 |
| B365 | 2.5 | +125 | — |
| FAN | 2.5 | +125 | -195 |
| MGM ↗ | 2.5 | +125 | -165 |
| PIN | 2.5 | +125 | -167 |
| Underdog ↗ | 1.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | SF | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | LA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | JAX | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | KC | 5 | 4 | 43 | 1 |
| 2025 · W18 | LAC | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | KC | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | JAX | 4 | 2 | 36 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | GB | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | LV | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | WAS | 9 | 6 | 79 | 0 |