Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 14.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

9/10 over 14.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

6 quoted books: 14.5–15.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 5.2 opportunities/game. Change: -13.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04DEN865
2026-09-20MIA2143
2026-09-11LAR1576
2026-01-04PHI1652
2025-12-25DAL4142
2025-12-20PHI2043
2025-12-14NYG1853
2025-12-07MIN1564
2025-12-01DEN3875
2025-11-16MIA2887

Compare books

fanatics · Over 14.5 (-140)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 15.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 15.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Over 15.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 15.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

novig · Over 15.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanduel · Under 15.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 15.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Under 15.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 15.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET