No clear lean · Research notes

Over 23.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 23.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.2 → latest five: 7.8 opportunities/game. Change: +25.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	TB	18	3	3
2026-09-25	ATL	34	10	7
2026-09-20	NYJ	20	11	4
2026-09-13	MIN	81	8	6
2026-01-11 PO	CHI	22	7	3
2025-12-28	BAL	39	6	5
2025-12-21	CHI	10	6	2
2025-12-14	DEN	19	5	3
2025-12-07	CHI	41	4	4
2025-11-27	DET	51	10	4

Compare books

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 23.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 23.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 23.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 23.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET