Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 14.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 14.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

2 quoted books: 14.5–14.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2 → latest five: 4.8 opportunities/game. Change: +140%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
Workload moves against this historical trend. This is context, not an eligibility exclusion.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	BUF	10	3	2
2026-09-27	JAX	38	5	1
2026-09-20	PIT	9	2	1
2026-09-10	SEA	8	7	5
2026-02-08 PO	SEA	11	7	5
2026-01-25 PO	DEN	0	1	0
2026-01-18 PO	HOU	28	2	2
2026-01-12 PO	LAC	3	2	1
2026-01-04	MIA	20	3	2
2025-12-28	NYJ	10	2	1

Compare books

draftkings · Over 14.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

bet365 · Over 19.5 (+165)Updated Oct 9, 2:04 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 14.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET