No clear lean · Research notes

Over 13.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 13.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 4.4 opportunities/game. Change: +22.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	PHI	20	6	5
2026-09-28	DEN	14	11	8
2026-09-11	SF	8	2	2
2026-01-25 PO	SEA	12	1	1
2026-01-18 PO	CHI	27	2	1
2026-01-10 PO	CAR	36	3	2
2026-01-04	ARI	22	6	5
2025-11-16	SEA	23	2	1
2025-11-09	SF	15	3	3
2025-11-02	NO	8	4	3

Compare books

draftkings · Over 13.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 13.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (+100)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 13.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 13.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET