No clear lean · Research notes

Over 9.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 9.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 3.4 opportunities/game. Change: -19%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04WSH241
2026-09-27HOU332
2026-09-21KC1544
2026-09-13BAL1343
2026-01-04HOU1122
2025-12-28JAX763
2025-12-23SF1933
2025-12-14SEA743
2025-11-30HOU3353
2025-11-23KC732

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 9.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 9.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 9.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

draftkings · Over 9.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanatics · Over 9.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 9.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 9.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 9.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 9.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET