No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2.4 targets/game. Change: -14.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5-137-137
FD ↗1.5+148-200
CZR ↗1.5+150-200
DK1.5+155-199
HRB1.5+150-210
FAN1.5+145-230
PIN1.5+168-230
B3651.5+150-192
Novig ↗1.5+178-223
Underdog ↗0.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game2.0
Targets4
Target share4%
Catch %100%
Season 2026: 4 rec · 54 yds · red-zone targets 1 (5% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4LAC1161
2026 · W3WAS33480
2025 · W9WAS44482
2025 · W7HOU3000
2025 · W6JAX1000
2025 · W5TB43391
2025 · W4ARI21100
2025 · W3NO43321
2025 · W2PIT42321
2025 · W1SF0000