No clear lean · Research notes

Over 3.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 3.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2 → latest five: 5.2 targets/game. Change: +160%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for CHI and DET; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	3.5	-137	-137
FD ↗	3.5	+134	-180
CZR ↗	3.5	+138	-200
DK	3.5	+128	-164
Novig ↗	3.5	+156	-178
MGM ↗	3.5	+125	-165
HRB	3.5	+135	-180
B365	3.5	+135	—
FAN	3.5	+125	-195
PIN	3.5	+128	-170
Underdog ↗	2.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game5.3

Targets23

Target share19%

Catch %91%

Season 2026: 21 rec · 220 yds · red-zone targets 4 (17% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NYJ	2	2	6	0
2026 · W3	PHI	7	6	90	1
2026 · W2	MIN	5	5	40	0
2026 · W1	CAR	9	8	84	0
2025 · W18	CHI	3	3	52	0
2025 · W17	MIN	2	1	5	0
2025 · W16	PIT	5	4	62	1
2025 · W15	LA	1	1	20	0
2025 · W12	NYG	2	2	37	0
2025 · W11	PHI	0	0	0	0