2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 6.4 targets/game. Change: +128.6%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | -130 | +100 |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | -138 | +104 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | -130 | +100 |
| DK | 4.5 | -134 | +105 |
| HRB | 4.5 | -130 | +100 |
| FAN | 4.5 | -135 | -115 |
| PIN | 4.5 | -117 | -113 |
| B365 | 4.5 | -125 | — |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | -122 | +104 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | MIN | 5 | 5 | 67 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | KC | 10 | 5 | 56 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | SF | 5 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | LV | 8 | 3 | 53 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | NE | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 2025 · W17 | TB | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | CIN | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| 2025 · W15 | PIT | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | NYJ | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | NO | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |