Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 15.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 15.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 14.5–15.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.6 → latest five: 8.2 opportunities/game. Change: +78.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for IND and LAC; team changes may affect usage.
Workload moves against this historical trend. This is context, not an eligibility exclusion.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-09-27	HOU	26	9	6
2026-09-21	KC	5	5	1
2026-09-13	BAL	9	6	6
2026-01-12 PO	NE	10	8	3
2026-01-04	DEN	8	13	7
2025-12-27	HOU	17	3	1
2025-12-21	DAL	12	5	5
2025-12-14	KC	12	7	5
2025-12-09	PHI	10	3	3
2025-11-30	LV	10	5	4

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 14.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 14.5 (-129)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 15.5 (-104)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 15.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 14.5 (-104)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 14.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET