Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 7.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 7.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 7.5–7.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2.6 opportunities/game. Change: -7.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	NE	6	2	2
2026-09-27	LAC	0	1	0
2026-09-18	DET	4	3	1
2026-09-13	HOU	6	4	3
2026-01-17 PO	DEN	24	3	2
2026-01-11 PO	JAX	4	3	2
2025-12-28	PHI	3	4	1
2025-12-21	CLE	17	2	1
2025-12-14	NE	5	3	2
2025-12-07	CIN	27	2	2

Compare books

caesars · Over 7.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 7.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 7.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 7.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 7.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 7.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 7.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 7.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET