No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.2 → latest five: 2.6 targets/game. Change: +1200%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for GB and SF; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-104	-124
FD ↗	1.5	+112	-148
CZR ↗	1.5	+104	-127
DK	1.5	-103	-124
HRB	1.5	+110	-140
FAN	1.5	+100	-150
PIN	1.5	+114	-152
B365	1.5	+105	—
Novig ↗	1.5	+111	-121
Underdog ↗	0.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game1.5

Targets13

Target share9%

Catch %46%

Season 2026: 6 rec · 35 yds · red-zone targets 4 (16% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds
2026 · W4	TB	2	1	-2
2026 · W3	ATL	7	3	31
2026 · W2	NYJ	3	2	6
2026 · W1	MIN	1	0	0
2025 · W18	SEA	0	0	0
2025 · W17	CHI	0	0	0
2025 · W16	IND	1	1	23
2025 · W15	TEN	0	0	0
2025 · W13	CLE	0	0	0
2025 · W12	CAR	0	0	0