No clear lean · Research notes

Over 60.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 63.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 7 → latest five: 9.4 targets/game. Change: +34.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	62.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	62.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	62.5	-111	-113
HRB	62.5	-115	-115
CZR	62.5	-115	-114
PIN	62.5	-116	-114
B365	62.5	-116	-116
FAN	60.5	-120	-125
MGM ↗	63.5	-115	-115
PP ↗	62.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets38

Target share24%

Catch %58%

Yds / rec17.7

Season 2026: 22 rec · 390 yds · red-zone targets 4 (27% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	PHI	9	4	32	0
2026 · W3	DEN	13	7	137	0
2026 · W2	NYG	10	8	195	2
2026 · W1	SF	6	3	26	0
2025 · W15	DET	9	4	71	0
2025 · W14	ARI	6	4	29	0
2025 · W13	CAR	5	4	58	2
2025 · W12	TB	8	5	62	2
2025 · W11	SEA	8	1	1	1
2025 · W10	SF	8	6	77	1