Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 6.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 6.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 6.5–6.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 8.4 targets/game. Change: +2.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus6.5-137-137
B3656.5-125—
FD ↗6.5-108-122
HRB6.5-110-120
Novig ↗6.5+102-113
CZR ↗6.5-109-120
DK6.5-106-121
FAN6.5-110-140
MGM ↗6.5-140+105
PIN6.5-129-103
Underdog ↗6.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗6.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game8.0
Targets24
Target share18%
Catch %67%
Season 2026: 16 rec · 202 yds · red-zone targets 4 (18% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4KC116861
2026 · W3NO13101161
2025 · W16HOU55331
2025 · W15PHI86280
2025 · W14DEN54461
2025 · W13LAC44632
2025 · W12CLE96550
2025 · W11DAL127720
2025 · W10DEN31310
2025 · W9JAX13121273