No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 16.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.4 → latest five: 4.6 opportunities/game. Change: -14.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04CIN2387
2026-09-27NE2353
2026-09-20DEN1422
2026-09-13CLE1432
2026-01-11 POBUF952
2026-01-04TEN1166
2025-12-28IND2053
2025-12-21DEN2375
2025-12-14NYJ2631
2025-12-07IND1663

Compare books

draftkings · Over 15.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 15.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 15.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Over 15.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 16.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

novig · Over 16.5 (-133)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanduel · Under 16.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Under 15.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 15.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 15.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 15.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET