No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 20.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.4 → latest five: 2 targets/game. Change: +400%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for LV and SEA; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	17.5	-137	-137
FD ↗	18.5	-114	-114
FAN	15.5	-135	-115
DK	17.5	-116	-108
CZR	17.5	-110	-118
PIN	16.5	-127	-104
B365	20.5	-116	-116
HRB	17.5	-115	-115
Novig ↗	18.5	-122	-122
PP ↗	17.5	DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗	14.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets10

Target share7%

Catch %50%

Yds / rec12.8

Season 2026: 5 rec · 64 yds · red-zone targets 5 (23% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	KC	4	2	36	0
2026 · W3	NO	3	1	4	1
2026 · W2	LAC	2	2	24	2
2026 · W1	MIA	1	0	0	0
2025 · W16	LA	0	0	0	0
2025 · W14	ATL	1	1	9	0
2025 · W13	MIN	1	1	21	0
2025 · W12	TEN	0	0	0	0
2025 · W11	LA	0	0	0	0
2025 · W10	ARI	0	0	0	0