No clear lean · Research notes

Over 2.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 2.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4 → latest five: 3.8 targets/game. Change: -5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	2.5	-137	-137
B365	2.5	+105	—
FD ↗	2.5	+102	-136
HRB	2.5	+115	-145
CZR ↗	2.5	+110	-143
DK	2.5	+124	-159
FAN	2.5	+110	-170
Novig ↗	2.5	+113	-127
PIN	2.5	+112	-148
MGM ↗	2.5	-105	-125
Underdog ↗	1.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game2.5

Targets12

Target share11%

Catch %83%

Season 2026: 10 rec · 135 yds · red-zone targets 1 (9% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	CHI	3	2	73	1
2026 · W3	DET	2	1	21	0
2026 · W2	GB	6	6	34	0
2026 · W1	TEN	1	1	7	0
2025 · W18	BUF	7	5	24	0
2025 · W17	NE	5	4	30	0
2025 · W16	NO	4	4	25	0
2025 · W15	JAX	7	6	53	0
2025 · W14	MIA	3	2	24	0
2025 · W13	ATL	1	0	0	0