No clear lean · Research notes

Over 3.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 4.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.2 → latest five: 6.2 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus3.5-137+125
B3654.5+120—
FD ↗3.5-160+120
Novig ↗3.5-163+133
CZR ↗4.5+137-182
DK4.5+125-160
HRB3.5-165+125
MGM ↗3.5-150+110
FAN4.5+130-220
PIN3.5-167+125
Underdog ↗4.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game2.8
Targets18
Target share15%
Catch %61%
Season 2026: 11 rec · 91 yds · red-zone targets 6 (26% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4NYJ96570
2026 · W3PHI44310
2026 · W2MIN3130
2026 · W1CAR2000
2025 · W18DET1310911
2025 · W17SF106941
2025 · W16GB53300
2025 · W15CLE54630
2025 · W14GB54291
2025 · W13PHI63280