2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 8.4 → latest five: 5 targets/game. Change: -40.5%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | +118 | -158 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | +117 | -152 |
| DK | 4.5 | +116 | -148 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | +127 | -138 |
| HRB | 4.5 | +120 | -155 |
| PIN | 4.5 | +118 | -158 |
| B365 | 4.5 | +135 | — |
| FAN | 4.5 | +115 | -170 |
| PP ↗ | 4 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Underdog ↗ | 3.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | PIT | 5 | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| 2026 · W3 | CAR | 9 | 7 | 51 | 2 |
| 2026 · W2 | TB | 6 | 5 | 54 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | JAX | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | PIT | 2 | 2 | 30 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | BUF | 6 | 4 | 34 | 2 |
| 2025 · W15 | CHI | 14 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | TEN | 11 | 8 | 114 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | SF | 5 | 3 | 43 | 1 |
| 2025 · W12 | LV | 6 | 4 | 40 | 0 |