5/5 over 78.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
7/10 over 78.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
9 quoted books: 78.5–81.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 10 → latest five: 11.8 targets/game. Change: +18%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 81.5 | -115 | -115 |
| B365 | 79.5 | -116 | -116 |
| FD ↗ | 81.5 | -114 | -114 |
| HRB | 81.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Novig ↗ | 81.5 | -104 | -111 |
| DK | 81.5 | -110 | -114 |
| FAN | 80.5 | -120 | -125 |
| CZR | 80.5 | -115 | -113 |
| MGM ↗ | 78.5 | -115 | -115 |
| PIN | 81.5 | -114 | -114 |
| PP ↗ | 81.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | ATL | 12 | 8 | 116 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | LV | 13 | 9 | 107 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | BAL | 10 | 8 | 86 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | DET | 13 | 10 | 182 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | TEN | 11 | 8 | 119 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | NYJ | 16 | 10 | 148 | 2 |
| 2025 · W15 | CAR | 9 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
| 2025 · W14 | TB | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | MIA | 7 | 4 | 47 | 1 |
| 2025 · W12 | ATL | 13 | 9 | 70 | 0 |