No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 15.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.8 → latest five: 5.4 opportunities/game. Change: +12.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	MIA	22	13	13
2026-09-27	TB	6	4	2
2026-09-20	CHI	19	4	3
2026-09-13	GB	16	5	4
2025-12-21	NYG	2	1	1
2025-12-15	DAL	29	5	4
2025-12-07	WSH	10	3	2
2025-11-30	SEA	29	6	6
2025-11-23	GB	5	4	4
2025-11-16	CHI	21	6	3

Compare books

draftkings · Over 15.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 15.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

bet365 · Over 19.5 (+155)Updated Oct 9, 2:01 PM ET

fanduel · Under 15.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 15.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET